According to WHO as of 1700 GMT 30 April 2009
Thursday, April 30, 2009
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
Sunday, April 12, 2009
UPDATE: the change in total marketable debt has been added (ht MrM)
Here is the end of 1Q2009 US Treasury marketable debt maturity plot - I have decided to update this quarterly - this makes the quarterly roll structure easiest to maintain and analyze.
- It is still a front end loaded beast as it ever was, only more so...
- The rate of growth for the next quarter roll doubles in six quarters (five to go!) if maintained at the 12.8% seen between the end of 4Q2008 and the end of 1Q2009
- The rate of growth for the combined front two quarters roll shows a growth rate of 10.3%, which is weighted to the first quarter
The post showing the EOY 2008 maturity plot:
Saturday, April 4, 2009
OK the rate of change YoY for the 3 month MA of EMRATIO is officially into uncharted waters...plus an update on the CIVPART-EMRATIO spread.
The lag in the peak of the spread in the 1990-1991 and 2001 recessions is not seen in previous recessions, which may be a function of structural changes in the economy (read: the hollowing out of manufacturing). Also, there are not enough data points to determine a trend, but it appears that the lag is lengthening in duration...
Thursday, April 2, 2009
Well the discussion in CR on a reference to food stamp enrollment went the way I roll - what does the *data* show us - here without further ado is the year over year change in inidvidual food stamp enrollment for the very limited data set available on: